Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.230169 0.272331 0.317352 0.368726 0.425451 0.485906 0.554942
2024-10-20 0.169627 0.225432 0.289443 0.367183 0.457948 0.559531 0.680769
2024-10-27 0.132270 0.196586 0.275426 0.376534 0.500171 0.644013 0.821560
2024-11-03 0.105381 0.174896 0.265672 0.387942 0.543535 0.730470 0.967535
2024-11-10 0.084726 0.157060 0.257476 0.398967 0.585465 0.815772 1.114497
2024-11-17 0.063736 0.134145 0.238723 0.393213 0.604203 0.871866 1.226615
2024-11-24 0.050361 0.119747 0.229436 0.398341 0.636047 0.944360 1.360150
2024-12-01 0.037600 0.103068 0.214025 0.392577 0.651722 0.995378 1.466817
2024-12-08 0.026233 0.085420 0.194101 0.377584 0.652634 1.025755 1.546474
2024-12-15 0.020860 0.078144 0.190049 0.385747 0.685935 1.099636 1.683809
2024-12-22 0.014718 0.066736 0.176814 0.377834 0.694757 1.139656 1.776449
2024-12-29 0.012487 0.064306 0.179649 0.395875 0.742323 1.233898 1.942978
2025-01-05 0.008995 0.056859 0.171929 0.396058 0.763541 1.292854 2.064648
2025-01-12 0.006448 0.050782 0.165889 0.398404 0.787858 1.356540 2.193819
2025-01-19 0.005000 0.047678 0.165632 0.410743 0.828007 1.443568 2.356417
2025-01-26 0.003894 0.045146 0.166185 0.424367 0.870377 1.534400 2.525427
2025-02-02 0.002968 0.042621 0.166306 0.437024 0.911388 1.623854 2.693665
2025-02-09 0.001759 0.036799 0.157258 0.431472 0.922236 1.668901 2.800037
2025-02-16 0.001147 0.033637 0.154299 0.437280 0.951733 1.741848 2.946507
2025-02-23 0.000569 0.028859 0.145862 0.431350 0.961040 1.784444 3.050141
2025-03-02 0.000178 0.023216 0.133243 0.415488 0.952395 1.799264 3.113762
2025-03-09 0.000084 0.021567 0.132438 0.424272 0.986420 1.879523 3.272426
2025-03-16 0.000012 0.017950 0.124072 0.415876 0.989771 1.912379 3.362530